w/b 13th of January 2025
A week of uncertainty is certainly the way anyone hoped to kick off the new year (not!), but for once, there’s a glimmer of good news. After years of escalating tension between Israel and Palestine, a ceasefire has finally been called for the Gaza Strip. It’s a rare moment of pause in a long-standing conflict, and while we remain cautious, it’s a positive step forward.
Meanwhile, closer to home, the Parliamentary bar, Strangers, has closed following serious allegations of drink spiking, casting a shadow over Westminster, and across the pond, the USA is in turmoil just days before Donald Trump’s presidential inauguration, leaving the country teetering on the edge of chaos.
In other global political developments, South African miners have been rescued—both alive and dead—after a dramatic protest standoff, highlighting the dire situation facing workers in the country. Canada is in the midst of a labour leadership election, as candidates vie for the top spot, and New Zealand and the UAE have forged a new trade agreement, potentially strengthening their economic ties. It’s been a week full of highs, lows, and everything in between
Gaza Ceasefire Agreement
A ceasefire agreement in Gaza, based on an exchange of hostages, is set to commence on Sunday, the 19th. This development brings hope for ending the recent violent escalations and the possibility of much-needed humanitarian aid reaching those affected by the conflict. The borders will also open enough to allow people to exit the region, reunite with families, and facilitate the release of hostages – a primary justification given for the Israeli bombings.1
The initial phase of this ceasefire is expected to last approximately 45 days. As part of the agreement, 33 Israeli hostages, including women, female soldiers, the elderly, and the sick, will be released. In return, Israel will release 30 Palestinian prisoners for each civilian and 50 for every female soldier. This exchange marks a significant gesture from both sides, aiming to reduce hostilities and build trust.
Simultaneously, Israel will withdraw its troops from highly urbanised areas, allowing Palestinians to return to Gaza. The reopening of borders will permit the influx of humanitarian aid, addressing the urgent needs of the population. This phase represents a critical window to establish a more stable environment and alleviate the immediate humanitarian crisis.
Following the initial phase, the second stage will involve the release of the remaining hostages and Palestinian prisoners. During this period, discussions on the governance and management of Gaza will occur. This stage is likely to be the most challenging, as it will require both parties to negotiate and make difficult compromises. The risk of a stalemate is high, and the continuity of the ceasefire will depend on the success of these talks.
The third and final stage aims to rebuild Gaza. This phase is contingent on the sustained cessation of violence and the successful implementation of the prior stages. Given the region’s fragile state, any resurgence of violence could derail the progress made, halting further peace talks and reconstruction efforts.2
The United States, with claims of responsibility from both Donald Trump and Joe Biden, has played a role in facilitating this ceasefire. Leaders from both sides, Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu and the Hamas chief negotiator have expressed their commitment to adhering to the agreement.3 However, the ceasefire’s fragility was underscored by a recent Israeli strike on Friday that killed 20 people in northern Gaza and injured 12 more. While there has been no official statement on whether this incident has disrupted the ceasefire, it highlights the precarious nature of the agreement and the urgent need for its enforcement.
Despite the challenges, this ceasefire is a victory for both the Palestinian and Israeli people, offering a glimmer of hope for a peaceful resolution. It is now up to global leaders to support and sustain this fragile peace, ensuring that the agreement holds and leads to lasting stability.
While this ceasefire pertains primarily to Gaza, tensions in the Middle East remain high. A peaceful solution to the decades-long conflict between Palestine and Israel is still in progress, and continued efforts are essential to achieve lasting peace in the region.
Parliamentary Bar Closes Amid Drink Spiking Allegations
The parliamentary bar, ‘Strangers‘ has been temporarily closed following serious allegations of drink spiking. The decision comes after a report by a parliamentary researcher on the 7th of Jan, in which she reported that her drink had been tampered with, prompting swift action from parliamentary authorities to address the growing concern for safety. It seems the only thing spiking in Parliament should be debates, not drinks.4
Members of Parliament and staff alike have expressed their shock and disappointment over the allegations, with many calling for a thorough investigation. The closure of the bar, a popular spot within the parliamentary estate, reflects the seriousness with which the authorities are treating the claims. One can only imagine the disappointment of MPs looking forward to a post-debate pint, now left to find solace in tea and biscuits instead.
Drink spiking, a crime that involves the surreptitious addition of drugs or alcohol to someone’s drink without their knowledge, has seen a worrying rise in recent times, sparking nationwide concern. Further research by Drinkaware and Anglia Ruskin University indicates that 11% of UK adults have been spiked at some point in their lives, with 13% of females and 9% of males reporting such experiences. Alarmingly, the National Police Chiefs’ Council received 6,732 reports of spiking in the year ending April 2023, 957 of which related to needle spiking. These statistics highlight the pressing need for effective measures to combat this pervasive issue.5
While the investigation is underway, parliamentary authorities have assured all staff and members that measures will be implemented to enhance safety and prevent such incidents in the future. These measures are expected to include stricter security checks, awareness campaigns, and possibly the introduction of preventative tools such as drink testing kits.
This closure also ignites a broader discussion about the culture of drinking within political institutions and the need for creating a safer environment for everyone. Several MPs have voiced their concerns about the prevalence of such crimes and the importance of fostering a respectful and secure atmosphere. Maybe it’s time to rethink the idea of mixing pints with politics.6
As the investigation progresses, the parliamentary community remains on high alert, with a collective effort to ensure that such an incident does not occur again. The closure of the parliamentary bar serves as a reminder of the pressing need to address issues of safety and security in all spaces, including those within the corridors of power. For now, it’s back to coffee breaks and committee meetings—because nothing says ‘productive governance’ like caffeine and policy papers.
Trump Incoming!
As the United States prepares for the inauguration of Donald Trump, the political landscape is charged with a series of dramatic events. President Joe Biden’s recent declaration during his farewell speech, labelling the US as an ‘oligarchy’ has stirred significant controversy and debate. Biden’s candid statement underscores growing concerns about the influence of wealth and corporate power on American democracy, adding fuel to the already fiery political discourse. A shocking realisation for a man who has led one of the world’s most powerful nations for four years7.
Meanwhile, it appears Trump’s real estate ambitions have expanded from Manhattan to the Arctic Circle, as tensions between the US and Denmark escalate following revelations of alleged threats to take over Greenland. Danish officials have expressed alarm and dissatisfaction, emphasising that they will take these threats seriously. This development has added a new layer of international intrigue and diplomatic strain to the already charged political climate. Perhaps Trump is merely scouting for a new golf course location8
Amidst these geopolitical tensions, the inauguration ceremony itself has faced adjustments due to unforeseen weather conditions. Originally planned as a grand outdoor event, the ceremony will now take place indoors to ensure the safety and comfort of attendees. This shift underscores the unpredictable nature of political events, even those as meticulously planned as a presidential inauguration. Who knew Mother Nature had such strong opinions about political ceremonies?
Additionally, the TikTok ban continues to dominate headlines, highlighting broader concerns about digital privacy, national security, and the regulation of social media platforms. The proposed ban has sparked heated debates over the delicate balance between safeguarding national interests and protecting the freedoms of digital communication. Even in 2025, the clash between cat videos and national security remains as fierce as ever. The ban was set to be initiated on Sunday the 19th and was expected to be indefinite. However, in a twist worthy of a reality show plot, the ban was lifted just 10 hours later—much to the relief of TikTok fans worldwide. In a calculated move, Trump positioned himself as the hero of TikTok, announcing that American users could continue accessing the app during the inauguration. He further declared that he would sign a 90-day extension on the ban once in office, giving TikTok a chance to sell 50% of the company to a US business to avoid the ban altogether. It’s a dramatic strategy, blending political manoeuvring with a touch of tech diplomacy, and, in true political fashion, sidestepping genuine issues to focus on one of his own creation.9
These developments collectively paint a picture of a nation on the brink of significant change, grappling with both internal and external challenges. As Trump’s inauguration approaches, the eyes of the world are on the US, watching closely how these issues unfold and shape the country’s future. With all this drama, perhaps the real question is: who needs reality TV when you have American politics? It’s a rollercoaster ride with no admission fee, but plenty of twists and turns to keep everyone on the edge of their seats.
Other Global News this Week
Stilfontein Mine Rescue Ends
In a significant development, South African authorities have concluded a rescue operation at an abandoned gold mine near Stilfontein, retrieving at least 78 bodies and rescuing over 240 survivors. The miners had been trapped underground for months during a standoff with police, who had cut off food and water supplies in an attempt to force their surrender due to illegal mining activities.
The operation, which began on Monday, involved lowering a metal cage approximately 2 kilometres into the mine shaft to bring up survivors and bodies. Police spokesperson Athlenda Mathe stated that the rescue mission has ended, with a final sweep planned to ensure no one remains underground.
The government’s approach has faced sharp criticism from civil rights groups and the South African Federation of Trade Unions, who described the tactic of cutting off essential supplies as a “horrific” crackdown on individuals attempting to earn a living under challenging circumstances.
Illegal mining, often conducted in abandoned mines, poses significant challenges in South Africa, leading to substantial economic losses and safety hazards. The recent incident at the Stilfontein mine underscores the urgent need for comprehensive strategies to address the underlying issues driving such activities and to prevent future tragedies.10
Potential Contenders Emerge as Justin Trudeau Announces Resignation
Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau has announced his resignation as leader of the Liberal Party, sparking a leadership race to determine his successor. Several prominent figures have emerged as potential candidates for the top position.
Read about Trudeau’s resignment here
Former Finance Minister Chrystia Freeland, known for her firm stance during trade negotiations with former U.S. President Donald Trump, has declared her candidacy. Freeland has emphasised the need for strong economic measures to navigate international challenges.
Mark Carney, the former Governor of the Bank of Canada and the Bank of England, has also thrown his hat in the ring. Carney brings a wealth of financial expertise and is focusing on issues such as stagnant wages and climate change.
Additionally, Karina Gould, the current House Leader for the Liberals, has announced her intention to run, adding diversity to the field of contenders.
The leadership election is set for March 9, ahead of the national election later this year. The new leader will be tasked with uniting the party and addressing pressing issues, including economic relations with the United States under President Donald Trump.11
New Zealand and UAE Sign Landmark Free Trade Agreement
New Zealand and the United Arab Emirates (UAE) have signed a landmark Comprehensive Economic Partnership Agreement (CEPA), effectively eliminating tariffs on 98.5% of New Zealand’s exports to the UAE. This figure is expected to rise to 99% within the next three years, significantly boosting trade relations between the two nations.
The CEPA was concluded in just over four months, marking the fastest trade negotiation in New Zealand’s history. The agreement aims to unlock economic opportunities for New Zealand businesses and strengthen supply chains with a key partner in the Gulf region. Trade Minister Todd McClay emphasised that the deal would contribute to the government’s goal of doubling export values within the next decade.
Currently, two-way trade between New Zealand and the UAE stands at approximately NZ$1.3 billion annually. This number is projected to increase substantially once the agreement comes into effect, providing New Zealand exporters with preferential access to the dynamic UAE market and fostering economic growth.
This agreement follows New Zealand’s recent trade pact with the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC), including the UAE, solidifying its economic ties within the Middle East. The swift conclusion of these agreements underscores New Zealand’s commitment to expanding its global trade partnerships and enhancing market access for its exporters.12
- Al Jazeera (2025). Israel-Hamas Ceasefire in Gaza to Take Effect on Sunday Morning. [online] Al Jazeera. Available at: https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2025/1/18/israel-hamas-ceasefire-in-gaza-to-come-into-effect-sunday-morning [Accessed 19 Jan. 2025]. ↩︎
- Berg, R. (2025). Gaza Ceasefire deal: What Do We know? BBC News. [online] 14 Jan. Available at: https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/cy5klgv5zv0o [Accessed 18 Jan. 2025]. ↩︎
- Wendling, M. and Zurcher, A. (2025). Biden Hails Ceasefire Deal as Both He and Trump Claim Credit. BBC News. [online] 15 Jan. Available at: https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/czx8dwxj07wo [Accessed 19 Jan. 2025]. ↩︎
- Seher Asaf (2025). Strangers’ Bar in Parliament Closed after Report of Drink Spiking. BBC News. [online] 17 Jan. Available at: https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/cgj22d3n9l6o [Accessed 20 Jan. 2025]. ↩︎
- Anglia Ruskin University (2024). Drinkaware. [online] Drinkaware.co.uk. Available at: https://www.drinkaware.co.uk/news/90-of-drink-spiking-incidents-go-unreported-according-to-research-by-drinkaware-and-anglia-ruskin-university?utm_source=chatgpt.com [Accessed 20 Jan. 2025]. ↩︎
- McKiernan, J. and Francis, S. (2025). Police Probe Drink Spiking Report in Parliament Bar. BBC News. [online] 15 Jan. Available at: https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/c20pendqjeeo [Accessed 20 Jan. 2025]. ↩︎
- Phillips, A. (2025). What Is an oligarchy? the Warning Biden Issued in His farewell, explained. [online] Washington Post. Available at: https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2025/01/16/oligarchy-us-definition-biden-farewell-speech/ [Accessed 20 Jan. 2025]. ↩︎
- Gozzi, L. (2025). Denmark Struggles to Stay Calm in Crisis over Trump Threat to Take Greenland. BBC. [online] 9 Jan. Available at: https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cp313e41jy1o [Accessed 20 Jan. 2025]. ↩︎
- McArthur, T. (2025). TikTok Restoring Services in US after Trump Pledge. BBC News. [online] 19 Jan. Available at: https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/cjde3p0rnjgo [Accessed 20 Jan. 2025]. ↩︎
- Reuters (2025). 78 Corpses Pulled from Besieged Gold Mine after ‘horrific’ Crackdown in South Africa. [online] NBC News. Available at: https://www.nbcnews.com/news/world/60-bodies-retrieved-closed-south-african-gold-mine-siege-rcna187742 [Accessed 20 Jan. 2025]. ↩︎
- Austen, I., Isai, V. and Stevis-Gridneff, M. (2025). Who Could Replace Justin Trudeau as Canada’s Prime Minister? The New York Times. [online] 6 Jan. Available at: https://www.nytimes.com/2025/01/06/world/canada/justin-trudeau-replacement.html [Accessed 20 Jan. 2025]. ↩︎
- Ellyatt, H. and Murphy, D. (2025). New Zealand won’t ‘get rich’ by Focusing Trade in the South Pacific alone, PM Says. [online] CNBC. Available at: https://www.cnbc.com/2025/01/14/new-zealand-signs-trade-deal-with-the-uae.html [Accessed 20 Jan. 2025]. ↩︎
Reigniting Politics 
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